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Thursday, September 20, 2012
User:
jsorrell
Date: 9/18/2012 1:00 pm
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Red Mile Race Reviews
Thursday, September 20th
Track Handicapper – Gabe Prewitt
Race 1 Selections 7-6-5-2
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1
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Misconception
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Appears overmatched against
these. Pass.
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2
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Mor Storms Coming
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Turned things around with a
solid 3rd place finish in claiming company last time, and lands in
what appears to be a wide open crew in our bottom condition. Still looking for his first win on the year
though.
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3
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Lightning Reno
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Raced evenly to finish 5th
last time, but would still need to pick things up quite a bit to make any
major noise against these. Stiltner
opted to #7 instead.
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4
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Bad Girlfriend
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Finally showed a bit of late
interest last time with a close 5th place finish, but would have
to improve even more to go with the top ones in here. Barn did have a $100 winner here on Sunday
night! Loney opted to #2 instead.
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5
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Shesgotwht everitis
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A solid 2nd last
week behind a heavy fav, but taking into account the 0 for 27 record on the
season I will only consider her for the minor awards again in here.
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6
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Jennas Sand Kicker
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No match for the runaway
winner in his most recent start, but wasn’t bad for his local debut. Won’t be facing anything that tough in
here, should be able to blast right to the lead.
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7
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Broadway Fame
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Finally turned things around
with a nice 2nd place finish Saturday, and he should be very close
if he follows that up with a similar effort here. Good enough to beat these on his best day. Stiltner opted here over #3.
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Race 2 Selections 4-3-2-5
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1
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Shawneewind
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Should sit close from the pole,
but appears to be a notch below the top ones in here. I’ll wait for a better spot.
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2
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Allgrownup
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Trotted evenly behind a
solid crew last time, and essentially finished right on the line with
#3. Appears to be one of many with a
shot in a WIDE open crew. Tetrick
opted here over #5.
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3
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Say What
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Took all kinds of tote
action last week, but could only manage a distant 3rd place finish
behind two nice fillies. Lands in what
appears to be a softer spot tonight, her best effort puts her right in the
mix.
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4
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Touched By Lindy
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Finished up just behind #’s
2 & 3 in his last start, and will obviously need to find a bit more pop
on the end of it if he’s going to contend for top honors here. Should offer good value though, I can make
a case.
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5
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Perfect Beauty
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No question this filly is in
career best form right now with back to back LT mark performances against
lesser, and now she steps up to take on a fairly solid group. She fits with these though. Tetrick opted to #2 instead.
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6
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Dandover
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Has been taking on some
tough company in six figure events in PA, but he’s had some major breaking
issues recently. No question he has
the ability, but not sure I’m willing to take the risk at short odds.
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Race 3 Selections 7-2-3-4
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1
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Looksgood onu
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Lands in a very tough
spot. Not tonight.
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2
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Ideal Ginny
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No question this filly packs
plenty of speed, but I wasn’t thrilled when I saw all the equipment she had
on here last time and then went down as a heavy fav. Still wasn’t a bad effort, should be close
once again.
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3
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Aunt Caroline
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1st time starter
put together a solid final ¾’s of a mile on idle in the AM here, and appears
to be yet another talented filly from the first crop of
Somebeachsomewhere. Conservative steer
coming here in her career debut?
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4
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Tundra
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I’ll have to give this guy
credit, he has really picked things up over his last couple of starts and had
some sneaky late pace on the end of it last time to finish 3rd. Should continue to improve.
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5
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Southern Strong
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Not sure what happened last
time, I expected her to roll coming off the big win in PA, but she fired a
blank after getting towed into it quite nicely. Which SS shows up here? Good question.
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6
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Blueridge Casino
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Nearly pulled off the 10-1
upset here last week, before settling for a solid 2nd. Appears to have hooked an even tougher
group here though, and would have to pick things up even more.
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7
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Muscle Beachboy
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Picked up 4th
three starts back against the best of the best in the $309k Woodrow Wilson at the Big
M. Lands in a comfortable spot for his
local debut, and I’ll give the edge to the colt over the filly in here.
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8
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Muncie
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Tough parked out trip after
the break last time, but still showed some fight to hang in closely down the
lane. Unfortunately he lands on the
outside of a good group here. I’ll
wait for a better spot.
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Race 4 Selections 5-6-3-9
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1
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Double Dip
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Appears to be a notch or two
below the top ones in here at this point.
Pass.
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2
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Wesley Gayle
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Added lasix last time
against similar company in Indy, but still didn’t appear to solve her stamina
issues. Needs more. Nisonger opted to #10 instead.
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3
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Duck Crossing
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Got completely roughed up
from post 9 last time, so I can excuse the break there. Should be able to get away nice and close
from post 3, and her prior efforts put her in the mix.
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4
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Moma Jean’s Crown
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Perfectly driven to save all
the ground last time and pick up a 4th place check. Lands in against another solid group here
though, and will have to pick things up even more.
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5
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Tornado
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Thrown to the sharks in
stakes company for his first 3 career tries, but he continues to improve with
each start and even picked up $20k for finishing 4th in the $250k
Final. Appears to be the one to
beat.
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6
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R Bashbul Bob
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Appeared that he was going
to be a very close 2nd last time before making a speed break in
deep stretch which caused him to be placed 3rd. No question a big improvement, anything
similar puts him close again.
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7
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Total Enjoyment
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I’m not sure she is going to
enjoy this group. Pass. Tetrick opted to #6 instead.
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8
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Fort Riley
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Not sure she can hold down
the fort against this crew. Pass.
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9
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Blue Diamonds
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Not sure what caused her to
make the break last time, but had picked up a couple of decent checks against
stakes company here prior. Has her
work cut out with main rivals drawing inside tonight.
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10
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I Look Foxy
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Has been solid on the OH
fair circuit this season, but gets slammed with post 10 against a tough crew
for her local debut coming off a scratched sick line. Not a great recipe. Nisonger opted here over #2.
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Race 5 Selections 7-8-6-2
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1
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Whersmelucky charms
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Has been in and out of form
here all season, and it’s always hard to tell what kind of effort we are
going to get. This may be a bit tough
for him regardless.
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2
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Theshadow nose
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Faded badly after a tough
trip at this level last time, but should be in line for a smoother journey
from post 2 tonight. I may toss him on
the super ticket to provide some value underneath.
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3
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Hoosier GB Diamond
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Popped the pocket before the
half when following the fav last time, and that didn’t work out all that well
for her late as she tired badly.
Should be blasting early once again, but will need more late.
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4
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Yank My Rope
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No luck at this level in her
last couple, would take a complete turnaround. Wrenn opted to #5 instead.
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5
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Fortune Road
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Had every opportunity to
finish very close on Sunday, but hung on the far outside under heavy
encouragement late. Should be in line
for a nice trip from perfect mid-pack post, but needs more late pop. RW chose over #4.
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6
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Crazy Dan
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No luck from the 2nd
tier in his first drop down to this level last time, and looks like a
different horse from what we saw 3 starts back. Likely to be a short price again, worth the
risk?
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7
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Keystone Nite Hawk
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Showed some fight last time
after getting used very hard through a first over journey into some quick
fractions. 3rd start for
new connections here, may be ready to pop at a decent price.
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8
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Hezasonof eclipse
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Expectedly tired late after
getting used extremely hard last week in big field, but any smoother journey
puts him in play against this crew.
Should offer some value as well.
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9
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Mor Than Enuf Russ
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Lacks early speed and lands
in post 9 against a solid group.
Likely to be sitting far back early.
Not sure I can endorse him with that in mind.
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10
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Pocket Belle
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13yo mare has some early
speed and she will likely use it after landing in post 10. Would take a LOT more stamina to hang
around late against these though.
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Race 6 Selections 3-9-4-5 Pick 4 Starts Here $2,317 Carryover $10,000 Guarantee
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1
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Up
Front N Crazy
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No
match for the top colts as a big longshot last week, and would have to find a
lot more to hang with these as well.
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2
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Tactful
Way
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Has
to be frustrating for the connections, as this guy made yet another break
last week just before the half after sitting 4th throughout. Has a TON of speed, but has yet to stay
flat in 5 career tries.
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3
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San
Donato
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Aggressively
handled last time and dug in down the lane to hold off the fav from off his
back. Any similar effort should make
him the one to beat again to kick off the BIG Pick 4 pool!
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4
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Deadliest
Catch
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Absolutely
dominated in the AM here, and shows finishing up a game 2nd behind
the eventual NJSS Champ in the only start he didn’t break. Should offer some value, take a long look
at him on the track.
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5
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Text
Winner
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Texted
in the big upset win last time, but I must mention that he benefitted after
the 2 favs essentially knocked each other out at the head of the lane. Still a nice effort, and he should continue
to improve.
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6
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Sailer
Eddie
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Eddie
benefitted from the traffic trouble at the top of the lane last time as well,
following #5 home to finish up a nice 2nd. Has hit the board in 7 of 9 now, one of
several with a big shot.
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7
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Amalfi Coast
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Hard
to endorse after consecutive breaks now.
I’ll watch for a clean effort before hopping on board again.
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8
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Jacks
To Open
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Trotted
evenly to finish up a well beaten 4th behind #5 last time, and it
doesn’t appear that things will be any easier from post 8 tonight. I’ll wait for a better spot.
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9
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Whole
Lotta Nasty
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Couldn’t
have asked for a better journey last time, but could only manage to be an
even 5th behind the top group down the lane. Reunited with Andy M., more aggressive
steer coming tonight? I think so.
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Race 7 Selections 2-4-5-7
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1
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Marvenue
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Showed
some improvement after adding hobbles in his local debut last week, but would
still need to pick things up quite a bit to hang with the top colts in
here.
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2
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Banco
Solo
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Ended
up a bit unlucky in the $250k KYSS Final, as he was essentially pinned in
down the lane and had to settle for 5th. Very talented son of Master Glide, won 2
Kindergarten legs in Jersey before arriving
locally.
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3
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Lauderdale
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Doesn’t
appear to pack the speed to hang with the top ones in here just yet. Pass.
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4
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All
Laid Out
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Finally
found room to thread through horses in deep stretch en route to his first
career victory last week. Should
continue to improve in only his 3rd LT try, and we may get a more
aggressive steer here.
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5
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Creatine
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Big
effort last time to hold on for 2nd after getting nipped by #4
down the lane. With the exception of
the break 2 back, he continues to improve with each and every start. A big threat once again.
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6
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Crazy
About Pat
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NY
invader should improve stretching back out to the mile strip tonight, but I’m
not sure he is on the same level with his stablemate (#4) or the other top
colts in here just yet.
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7
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Possessed
Fashion
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Appeared
to be en route to a nice finish last time before blowing the turn and causing
interference to the fav, causing him to be placed 9th. Should be a better price tonight, one of
several with a shot in here.
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8
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Bullish
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Appeared
poised to trot by his rivals at the head of the lane last week, but had to
settle for a close 3rd after being outfinished by #’s 4 & 5 in
here. Any similar effort should put
him close once again.
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9
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Sharpshot
Hall
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Lands
on the outside of what appears to be a very tough group. Not tonight.
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Race 8 Selections 5-6-1-3
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1
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Herculotte
Hanover
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Liked
her to be on the ticket at a price last week, and she was able to pull down 2nd
at big number. Likely to be a square
price once again, and should sit close from the pole and continue to
improve. Lachance opted to #3.
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2
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Lady
Likes Muscles
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Doesn’t
appear ready to go with these in just her 2nd LT start. Pass.
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3
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Downpour
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An
even 4th place finish in her first local try, and is likely to sit
close in the big bulky field tonight.
Should be able to hang around for a piece late. Lachance opted here over #1.
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4
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Ivory
Queen
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Not
a bad effort in her first local try, but will have to find even more speed if
she is going to go with the top ones in this crew. I’ll wait until we see some
improvement.
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5
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Miss
Steele
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Nearly
surged past her rivals on the far outside last time, but ended up settling
for a close 3rd place finish.
Looks to have landed in a nice spot and in a perfect mid-pack
post. Lots to like.
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6
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Drink
the Wine
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Has
proven she can go with and even beat stakes company, but was offstride far
behind the gate in her local debut. I’ll
give her one more try.
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7
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Find
the Magic
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Another
that has proven she can hold her own with stakes level company, but also made
a break just before the start last time.
Take a good long look at her on the track.
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8
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Parlia
Hanover
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Plenty
of breaking issues thus far as well, I’ll watch one first.
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9
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Sina
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Held
her own on the PASS circuit, but lands out in post 9 against a bulky 11 horse
field. Has her work cut out from way
out here.
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10
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Déjà
vu Too
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Trotted
evenly against some top fillies last time, but is another that may have a
tough time getting worked into the race from way out here. I’ll wait for a better spot.
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11
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Omnipotent
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Showed
a lot of improvement in finishing up just behind #1 in her local debut, and
appears to be one of many with a shot at the minor awards in here.
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Race 9 Selections 7-3-8-2
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1
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Rosie’s
Warrior
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Skimmed
the cones last time to pick off some tired ones late and finish up a distant
2nd behind #7. Not a bad
effort, but she did benefit from several breakers. Would need even more improvement.
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2
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Ma
Chere Hall
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Parlayed
a nice ground saving trip into a close 4th place finish in the
$250k KYSS Final in her last try.
Appears to have landed in the tougher of two filly divisions here
though, needs her very best.
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3
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Silver
Credit
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Made
quick work of her rivals in her local debut, and anything similar to that
effort has to put her close once again.
Won’t be anywhere near 14-1 in here though!
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4
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Southwind
Cocoa
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She
made a break FAR behind the gate last time and really never looked good
scoring down prior to the race. Take a
long look at her on the track, but it’s hard for me to hop back on board
after seeing that.
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5
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Richesse
Oblige
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A
nice even effort last time, and should be in line for a nice cover trip from
mid-pack post tonight. Any further
improvement puts her in the mix here.
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6
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Southwind
Sauna
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Doesn’t
appear to pack the speed to hang with the top fillies in here just yet. I’ll pass for now.
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7
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Vintage
Oaks
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Benefitted
after some short priced rivals broke stride last week, but she still ROMPED
home to an easy victory in an impressive time. Razor sharp right now.
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8
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Morningstar
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Regally
bred daughter of World Champ Passionate Glide parlayed a perfect pocket ride
into a 2nd place finish in her local debut. Her mom had a lot of big wins over this
track! Her best puts her close once
again.
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9
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Vallas
Cowgirl
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Trotted
evenly last time, but lands in post 9 in what appears to be the toughest of
two divisions. I’ll watch this
one.
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10
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Right
Away
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Slammed
with post 10 against a tough crew. Not
in here.
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11
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Karalta
Bye Bye
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Not
a bad try for her career debut, but would have to pick it up quite a bit to
contend for any of the major awards.
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Race 10 Selections 8-3-1-7
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1
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Max
Andover
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Sat
just off the top pair throughout last time, and hung in with them late to
finish 3rd. Should sit
close once again after landing on the pole.
Maybe.
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2
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Andy
Revrac
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An
even effort from post 10 in his first local try, but he will have to find
even more speed to hang with the top colts in here.
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3
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Picture
This
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Came
up just short after a picture perfect trip in his local debut as the fav, and
just wasn’t good enough to get by him down the lane. Dodges that rival tonight though, and
should be close once again.
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4
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Icy
Chisel
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Doesn’t
appear ready for these just yet.
Pass.
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5
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Broadway
Prince
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Connections
obviously think this guy has some talent if they shipped him all the way up
north to go for big money in Mohawk stake.
Made a break there, possibly a conservative steer coming here?
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6
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Fashion
Glider
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Offstride
early in his local debut, and hooks another solid crew tonight. Not for me.
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7
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Bizzaro
Lindy
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Another
that made a break at the start last time, but I suppose I am willing to give
this guy another try in here at the minor awards after showing a bit of
talent in his prior efforts.
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8
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Pine
Credit
|
Arrives
riding a 3 race win streak against stakes company in NY, and should pick up
even more with the return to the big track.
I can make a big case here.
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9
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Il
Pizzaiolo
|
Regally
bred colt faces a tough task from post 9 here. I’ll wait for a better spot.
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$1 Pick 4 (Races 6 – 9)
$2,317 Carryover
$10,000 Guaranteed Pool
Race 6 – 2, 3, 4, 5, 9
Race 7 – 2, 4
Race 8 – 5
Race 9 – 3, 4, 7, 8
Total Ticket Cost - $40
LOCK OF THE NIGHT: RACE 4 #5 TORNADO (5-2
ML)
LONGSHOT OF THE NIGHT: RACE 2 #4 TOUCHED BY
LINDY (9-2 ML)
HAVE FUN – WIN MONEY!
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