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Sunday, August 19, 2012
User:
jsorrell
Date: 8/17/2012 12:04 pm
Views: 467
Rating: -2
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Red Mile Race Reviews
Sunday, August 19th
Track Handicapper – Gabe Prewitt
Race 1 Selections 2-1-5-6
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1
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Saintly
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Rebounded with a sharp
Q’fying effort after making a break in her first try. Should continue to improve in her first
actual start tonight, Pete Wrenn gets the call.
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2
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Glorify
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Crushed overnight company in
Canada
for her 1st career win, and keep in mind that the track appeared
to be at least 2 seconds off that night.
Should continue to improve with the stretch to the mile strip. Must respect.
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3
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Duolotta cheatin
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Was going to be at least 2nd
the other night before she made a break in mid-stretch. Never really looked overly comfortable the
entire mile. No question she has the
talent, but can she mind her manners?
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4
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Lots to Like
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A ton of early speed, but
would need a lot more stamina to hang around late against these. DN chose over #5.
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5
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Simone Hall
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Looked like she was home
free last time at Vernon,
but had to settle for 2nd when she got collared late. Lands in a comfortable spot for her first
local try, but I’ll try to beat her at what figures to be a short price.
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6
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Itsnot u Itsme
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She certainly hasn’t proven
that she is fast enough to go with the top ones in here just yet, but I can
promise that her runner up finish two back was ultra impressive regardless of
time. Not overly tough group
here. Maybe.
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7
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Expressive Victor
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Added hobbles in the AM and
she put in a nice clean line to finish up 3rd. Hopefully that will cure the breaking
issues, but still not sure she is ready to knock off these just yet.
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8
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V Six
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Decent morning effort, but
going to have to find a lot more horsepower to hang with these. Not yet.
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Race 2 Selections 4-1-6-2
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1
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Ohmybelle
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The queen of the KY Fairs
was forced into a 55 and change middle half in the $8.5k KY Fair Final, and
that proved to be a little much as #6 got by her down the lane. Never been worse than 2nd. Big shot.
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2
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So Nice
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Impressive Q’fer, but is
asking quite a bit for her to be ready to hang with the top ones in here in
her 1st career try. Should
sit close in small field. Maybe
underneath. Wrenn opted here over
#3.
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3
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Olive Oyle
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Connections are obviously
still tinkering with this one, as she added lasix for her first career try
and quickly removed it after a dull effort.
Wide open crew here, but she’ll have to find more stamina.
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4
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Diligent Prospect
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Tired after working hard to
make the lead in her last at Pocono, and shows a decent 4th place
finish prior in $36k stake at Tioga. I
could make a case for nearly any of these.
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5
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Caribbean Treasure
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Has been chasing #’s 1 &
6 all year on the KY Fair circuit, and not sure things are going to get any
easier for her here. Pass.
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6
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KZ Beach Girl
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Had a nice trip against #1
last time, but I must admit that she looked very good getting by her down the
lane for an easy win. Appears to be
peaking at the right time.
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Race 3 Selections 8-1-3-5
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1
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Déjà Vu Too
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Rebounded after a couple of
breaks with a nice even effort to finish up a game 2nd at The Big
M last time. Not sure she can hang
with #8 just yet, but should sit close and looks like her main threat.
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2
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Classact Volo
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Must have hooked a monster
in that AM effort at Pocono, 56.1 is an unbelievable Q’fer for a 2yotf. Unfortunately for her, she has landed in
against tough company for her first try under the lights tonight as well.
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3
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Blue Diamonds
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Made a break at the start
last week, but keep in mind that the track was not in great shape after heavy
rains. Displayed some talent in the AM
at Big M, needs her very best here.
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4
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FanFan Dream
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Absolutely crushed overnight
company on opening night, but will have to improve even more to hang with the
top ones in here. Definitely some
talent here though.
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5
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Little Bitty Lies
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Conservatively handled for
top connections in her career debut at Springfield,
finishing 2nd as the odds on favorite. I would expect a similar off the pace
effort here, maybe a notch below the top ones at this point.
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6
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MarysMaster
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Not sure she is ready to
master this bunch yet. Pass.
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7
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Redur beautiful
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Chestnut filly has really
taken off since arriving locally, but faces her toughest task yet in the
opening leg of stakes action. Probably
going to have to do it from last.
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8
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True Day Dream
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Made quick work of her
rivals of late, and this is quite possibly one of the most talented fillies
in not only KY, but the entire country.
She is a true dream for the connections. Can’t see her getting beat.
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Race 4 Selections 7-1-8-2
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1
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Mystical Dew
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Couldn’t have possibly
looked more impressive in the AM as a 20 length winner, and doesn’t appear to
have landed in overly tough for his first stakes try. Short price looming, the one to beat.
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2
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IL Pizzaiolo
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Talk about a regally bred
colt? A World Champ mom & dad, but
this guy hasn’t shown an abundance of ability just yet. Likely to be overbet given the pedigree,
I’ll try him underneath only.
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3
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Sharpshot Hall
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I really thought this guy
could be something special when I saw the local Q’fer, but quite honestly he
has disappointed me in both LT starts to this point. Any improvement at all puts him right in
the mix though.
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4
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Swiss Alps
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PA invader makes his 1st
LT start tonight, and I’m not sure he is ready to climb this mountain just
yet.
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5
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Deweytrot andhowe
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Had a flat tire for the back
half of the mile two back in the $10k KY Fair Final, but I must admit I was a
bit disappointed with his finish in overnight last time. Would need a lot more to go with
these.
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6
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Glamrocker
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Made a break in his only LT
start, and I’ll watch him go around the big track once first.
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7
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Howdy Dewey
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Absolutely loved this guy
last time, and he saved all the ground to pick up a nice 2nd place
finish at big odds. Picks up the
services of MacDonald tonight, and should continue to improve. I’m still on board.
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8
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Southwind Metallic
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Made a break far behind the
gate in his only local try, and followed that up with a nice even Q’fer in Chicago. Has his work cut out from post 8, but
should be flying late if he minds his manners.
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Race 5 Selections 1-8-3-7
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1
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Caveat Emptor
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Closed well to pick up a
nice 4th place check in the massive $387k Peter Haughton stake on
Hambo Day at The Meds. Appears to be
further along than the rest of these at this point. No question the one to beat.
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2
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Will To Do
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Has had some breaking issues
thus far in his brief career, but shows a nice Q’fying effort around the half
mile track at Grand River in his last. Will have to pick it up quite a bit to hang
with these though.
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3
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Dewey Luvs Britt
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Driven like he was the best
last week, and he was most certainly the best as he dominated a pretty decent
crew at odds of 10-1 under very little urging. Should continue to improve in 2nd
LT try. Must use.
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4
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RoyaltyN Howe
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Finally put in a clean line
last time at Pocono, but appears to be in deep water here. I’ll pass for now. Tyler Smith opted to drive his stablemate
#7 instead.
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5
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Etienne
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Couldn’t keep up with his
rival in Philly Q’fer in speedy back half.
Won’t get any easier here.
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6
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Tornado
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Doesn’t appear to pack the
speed to hang with the top ones in here just yet. Pass.
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7
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Alejandro Hall
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Got caught in the back in
overnight against #3, and really never had any shot from where he had to come
from. Tyler will have to find a way to work him
into the race here, or they will say adios once again.
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8
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Here’s Johnny
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Coming off a blowout Q’fer
at The Big M where he actually dominated #3, and I will add extra points
there as #3 came back to win easy here in his local debut. Hereeeeeeeee’s Johnny in his career debut
tonight….
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Race 6 Selections 7-2-6-5 Start of $5,000 Guaranteed
Pick 4 See ticket at the end
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1
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Already Spent
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Rode the rail to an even 5th
place finish Thursday, but needs more to contend for major awards.
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2
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Country Strong
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Talk about a turnaround,
this guy was 0 for 20 in his career and he has been vicious since arriving on
the red clay. Lands in another
comfortable spot, and looks to make it 3 in a row.
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3
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Become Legendary
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Had a nice trip in his first
local try, but finished far behind #2 regardless. Faces all 3 of the ones that beat him in
that one again tonight. Needs
more.
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4
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Who’s West West
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Parlayed a perfect trip into
his first career victory last time, but steps up to take on a tougher group
tonight. Has certainly rounded into
form, but would need even more to hang with the top ones in here.
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5
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Her Misconduct
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Another even effort last
time from post 10, and keep in mind she was beaten less than 2 lengths for 2nd
in there. Lands in a perfect mid-pack
post tonight, Stiltner should have plenty of options.
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6
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Lady Cambest
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Not bad to hold on for the
place spot in her first start in 7 months last week, and she should be
tightened up and ready to rock in her 2nd off the shelf
tonight. Still will need her very best
to knock off the fav.
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7
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Yakkity Yak Jack
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Has been facing some fairly tough
company compared to these in Indiana & Ohio, and comes off a
blowout AM work. Shows a 54.3 win
earlier this year at Scioto. Has the talent if he’s ready to roll.
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8
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Lucky Deuce
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Rode the rail to a 3rd
place finish behind #’s 2 & 6 last time at big odds. Not a bad effort at all, but would have to
pick it up quite a bit to threaten for any major awards.
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9
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Blue By U
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Started off well earlier
this season, but lately she has been the one getting Blue By. Has her work cut out from post 9, but I
suspect Page will put her in play early if she is on her game. Your call.
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10
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Lightning Reno
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No threat from outside post
against these last time, and retains longshot status once again. Pass.
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Race 7 Selections 2-10-5-6
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1
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Twinklefiretwo
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Had nothing to offer last
time, and things aren’t going to get any easier here. I’ll wait for improvement.
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2
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Do Ya Wanna Rumba
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Took the lead for a brief moment
down the lane last time but couldn’t hold off the late rally by the fav and
had to settle for a close 3rd. Draws inside of her main rivals for her 3rd
start off the shelf. Picks up
Page. I can make a case here.
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3
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Yank My Rope
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A perfect 2nd
over trip here on Thursday night, and she parlayed that into a nice 3rd
place finish. Not quite sure things
will work out that perfectly again tonight, but she certainly fits with
these.
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4
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Pocket Belle
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Tried to bottom out the
field at a big number on Thursday, but tired once again late to fade out of
it. I’ll wait until we see more
stamina before hopping on board.
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5
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Vivianne
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Has been holding her own in
the $5k claiming ranks in Columbus,
and takes what should be a substantial drop in for $3k for her first local
try. Anywhere close to her best effort
puts her squarely in the mix.
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6
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Willing Heart
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I liked this mare last time
and she never really got worked into the race in finishing far back. She IS much better than that, and ideally
could end up with a nice trip following #5.
Price should be right. Your
call.
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7
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Rainy Day Q
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Things set up well for her
last time, as she sat in the back as they blazed through some quick early
fractions but she still failed to fire.
Would take a LOT more.
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8
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Jo Jo’s Circus
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The circus came to town late
last time as she ended up finishing a hard charging 2nd. For whatever reason, I still wasn’t overly
impressed with that one, I would use her underneath only.
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9
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Trishie Mae
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Rode the rail to a distant 4th
place finish last time, but gets stuck way out in post 9 here and is still
yet to hit the board in 10 seasonal starts.
Not tonight.
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10
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Baby Blue Pajamas
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Drops into the claiming
series here after a nice 3rd place finish behind a couple of solid
males in the conditioned ranks.
Unfortunately stuck way out in post 10, Stiltner should be firing
early.
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Race 8 Selections 7-3-1-8
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1
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Doc’s Crystal
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A long uncovered journey
last time after leaving for early position as well, and she hung in there to
finish up a nice 2nd behind #8.
Should sit close from the pole, the toughest crew she’s faced to date
though.
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2
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Beep Beep Bye Bye
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Shows a ton of early speed
in those AM efforts, and you can bet Noble will put her right in play. Not sure she is ready to take on a field
like this just yet though.
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3
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Ma Chere Hall
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Added hobbles for the Q’fer
last time and that appeared to solve the breaking problems. With only 2 legs before the $250k final,
they don’t have time for a conservative steer here. Should be close if she stays flat.
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4
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Dana Boko
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Not thrilled with the one
local start, but she did race a lot better in the $37k Review last time at Springfield. Picks up the services of MacDonald, should
be forwardly placed. Your call.
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5
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Peaceful Spirit
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Finished far behind #8 in
the overnight, and appears to be in a tough spot here. Pass.
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6
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Caribbean Dream
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Was well behind #8 last time
as well, and thing aren’t going to get any easier here. Not tonight.
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7
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Caneel Hall
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Held her own against some
solid fields on the east coast, and I would expect Schnittker to be on the
gas early and often in this spot. Looks
to be further along than these at this point.
Must respect.
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8
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Don’tcheat onafilly
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I will admit that I wasn’t
overly high on her coming into the last start, but she really found another
gear in deep stretch when TS asked her for more. Should continue to improve in her 2nd
LT start here.
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9
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Runway Beauty
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Makes her first LT start
against a solid stakes field from the outside post. Not a beautiful scenario.
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Race 9 Selections 1-10-5-3
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1
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Creatine
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Lone 2yo lands in a
comfortable spot for his career debut even though he is taking on older
rivals. Shows a couple of sharp
morning works, should be poised to win at first asking.
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2
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Klassic Kanidate
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Tired late to finish 6th
behind the fav last time, and this colt is yet to win now in 18 career
tries. Does have 12 on the board
finishes, should sit close from inside post.
Maybe underneath.
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3
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Wesley Gayle
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Appeared to get away to a
very slow start from post 1 in $10k mini-stake at Indy last time, but trotted
evenly from that point on. Should
continue to improve in her 3rd career try, and 2nd back
off the brief layoff.
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4
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Mystical Kody
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Gapped off late to finish
far back in the Q’fer, and appears to have landed in against some tough ones
here. Pass. Loney opted here over #3.
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5
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Kentucky Freeze
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Really rounded the corner
over the last month, and was a hard charging 2nd against similar
company in her last try. Perfect
mid-pack post leaves Lunsford with plenty of options. Must respect.
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6
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Fort Riley
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Didn’t have much to offer in
her first local try. Not tonight.
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7
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B Q Bull
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Finished 2nd in
$7.5k KY Fair Final in his last, but keep in mind that was only a 3 horse
field. Stamina has been his main
concern. Not ready to hop on board
just yet.
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8
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Maxaman
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Not sure why he ended up
scratched after what was a solid AM work, but this guy has shown flashes of
talent throughout his career.
Consistency has always been the problem. I’ll make him beat me.
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9
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Nice’N Easy
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Hasn’t shown enough speed to
hang with these. Pass.
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10
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Marisela
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No question she is setting
sail for the top from post 10, and she has put in a couple of large efforts
to kick off her ’12 campaign. Should
continue to improve and be able to hold on for a piece late.
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Race 10 Selections 7-1-6-9
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1
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Andie Sophia
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Showed back up at Pocono
after missing some time and put in a dazzling work with Rockin’ Rob Harmon in
the bike. Typically don’t like a 1st
time starter in stakes action, but this is a very talented filly. Must use.
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2
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Paris Hall
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This filly might be better
than she appears on paper, as she has been on a sloppy surface in the last
couple. 1st career start
was a big effort at Scioto to get beat a
neck. Should sit close against a solid
crew. Your call.
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3
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Mergatroid
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Blew up behind the gate in
her last, and now takes on a tough field in stakes action to follow it
up. I’ll watch her go around the track
once first.
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4
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Delmot
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Made a break in her only
start as well, but she did follow that up with a nice Q’fer where she held
off #8 late. Out of a very nice mare,
but I’m going to watch one under the lights before endorsing.
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5
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Reve Encore Dream
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Perfect trip last time, but
couldn’t keep up with the top 2 in there.
Yet to miss the board, but taking a large step up here. Not against these.
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6
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Kijafa
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Finished far behind #1 in
the AM effort at Pocono, but put in a nice 3rd place try in $27k
stake prior at Club Med. I would
expect another off the pace rally coming here. Big shot at the minor awards.
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7
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Dewey Lane
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Tough luck in making a break
in the $354k stake in her last start, but this filly has shown some major
flashes of talent thus far in her brief career. With some starts under her belt, I’ll give
her the slight edge over #1.
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8
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Georgie Mae
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Finished up right behind #4
in the AM, but has hooked an overly tough group for her 1st LT
start. I’ll wait for a better
spot.
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9
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Right Away
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Schnittker takes back over
the driving duties after she made a break last time, but she has her work cut
out for her from the outside against a nice group. No way he will sit last, should be blasting
early. Your call.
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Race 11 Selections 6-5-1-9
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1
|
Alfredo Dream
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I am a huge fan of this
guy! The bad news is he has hooked two
of the toughest colts in the entire class in #’s 5 & 6, the good news is
it appears wide open behind those two.
I’ll slot him in 3rd.
ICE COLD 6-5-1!
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2
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Francos Red Rocket
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Hasn’t shown a lot of
ability in the AM just yet, and I’m not sure he is ready to launch in this
spot.
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3
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Penn
|
Q’fer was good last time,
but he has had a lot of breaking problems in recent times. It would take a complete turnaround to snag
a piece of this one.
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4
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Blueridge Adiram
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The KY Fair Champ faded
badly against overnight company in his last, but is one of many with a shot
at the minor awards behind the favs.
Not sure I can endorse after the last try though.
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5
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Banco Solo
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Back to back wins in the
Kindergarten Series, including getting parked every step of the mile over a
sloppy track 2 back and still drawing away.
Looks like a 2 horse race on paper with #6. Take your pick.
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6
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Dewycolor intheline
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A nice even effort to pick
up a 5th place check in the $387k Haughton, but will need his very
best effort to knock off #5. Appears
to be yet another very talented Dewey 1st cropper for team
Schnittker.
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7
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Don’t Muff It Up
|
Doesn’t appear that he is
ready to go with these just yet.
Pass.
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8
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Held in Balance
|
Picked up a nice check in
the $37k Review at Springfield,
but has hooked a solid group in the opening leg of KYSS action. Absolutely wide open behind the 2
favs. Maybe.
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9
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Voodoo Victor
|
Looked like a different
horse last time as he sustained a long first over grind to finish 3rd
at over 99-1 in only his 2nd LT start. I was very impressed by that try, and he
should continue to improve.
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Race 12 Selections 3-6-2-8
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1
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Phenomenon
|
Perfectly driven in local
overnight to sprint by for his 1st career victory. Lands in the toughest of the 2 KYSS
divisions for pacing colts though, not sure he is ready to challenge for top
honors.
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2
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Soda Pop
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Has looked like a different
horse since arriving locally in KY Fair action, and he has yet to be
encouraged whatsoever. Steps up
against some solid colts here though.
Can he improve enough to go with these?
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3
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Duel in the Sun
|
Has been facing some top
notch competition in east coast tries, and is yet to miss the board in 4 LT
starts. His best effort makes him the
one to beat.
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4
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Talk It Up
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Hard for me to talk this guy
up against this crew. Not
tonight.
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5
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Lady’s Man
|
MI invader has landed in
what appears to be an impossible spot.
Pass.
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6
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Blatantly Best
|
Undefeated in 2 starts, but
this will be the toughest task he has faced to date. Any improvement puts him right in the mix,
I’ll slot him right behind #3. ICE
COLD 3-6!
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7
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Argon Fire
|
A much improved effort last
time to finish up 2nd behind #1, but has landed in quite the shark
tank here in the opening leg of KYSS action.
I’ll wait for a better spot.
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8
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Kenzie’s Beach Boy
|
Another east coast invader,
and there is no question Noble will be putting him into play early. Should be in line for a nice trip behind
the fav. Maybe underneath.
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Race 13 Selections 6-9-3-7
|
1
|
No Need for Brakes
|
Held his own on KY Fair
circuit this year, but it appears that the KYSS may have come up a bit tough
for him. Lands in the softer of 2
divisions, but still not an easy task.
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2
|
Jude Hall
|
Tough trip in $22k Review
last time, and couldn’t fend off a 32-1 longshot in his only local try
against overnight company prior.
Dillander jumps aboard, but needs a lot more.
|
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3
|
Nutmegs Maya
|
Off to a nice start thus far
in his brief career, but I must point out that he finished a disappointing 5th
as the odds on fav in his last try at Scioto. Likely going to be another short price
here. Maybe vulnerable.
|
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4
|
Derby Dylan
|
Not quite sure he is ready
to go with the top ones in here just yet, but I have been very impressed with
the first couple of his career. Asking
a lot to be ready for these, but I think there is some talent here.
|
|
5
|
Summons
|
Tired late after getting
away fairly cheap on the front end last time in Chi-town, and things aren’t
going to get any easier with the summons to take on stakes company. I’ll wait until we see signs of
improvement.
|
|
6
|
Homestake
|
Sprinted by his rivals late
to take his 1st career try, and should continue to improve in his
2nd LT try tonight. I can
make a big case here.
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|
7
|
A List
|
Had a solid year on the KY
Fair circuit, and speedster picks up Noble for his first stakes try
tonight. No question he will be
stepping on the gas early. Catch him
if you can.
|
|
8
|
Galex
|
A couple of average AM
efforts, and not sure he packs the speed to hang with these just yet.
|
|
9
|
Big Man Clyde
|
Absolutely crushed in the
Q’fer with a 27.3 kicker under no urging.
Lands in the weaker of 2 divisions, should be poised for a big effort. Maybe.
|
Race 14 Selections 2-9-3-5-7 10-CENT SUPER HIGH FIVE
|
1
|
West Coast Arturo
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The quick early pace took
its toll late, and she faded badly to finish 9th in the opening
leg of the mini-series. Should be
firing early once again, but stamina has been a major issue.
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2
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Hoosier GB Diamond
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Drops from the Open into
claiming company, and will have to have a good finish here to make the
mini-series final. Barn had a 77-1
winner here Thursday! Don’t overlook
this diamond, picks up Mark Mac.
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3
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Theprincess deals
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Been off a couple of months
and just shows an average Q’fer to tighten up in Cleveland.
The pressure is on for a good finish in order to make the mini-series
final. Loves to win, 10 of 22 on the
year. Is she ready to deal?
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4
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Frontier Belle
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Didn’t have a lot to offer
against these last time, and switches to Tyler Smith for the first time. Would need a lot more though.
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5
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Mattie Maras
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Locked into an absolute duel
with #1 through the first ¾’s of a mile last time, and she expectedly tired
late to finish last. Barn has been on
a roll here recently, should be tightened up and ready to go. Live longshot?
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6
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JB’s Cutie
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Edged by #7 late to finish 2nd
behind #9 last time, but will have to pick it up quite a bit if she is going
to challenge for top honors against these.
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7
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Georgian Jiffyjane
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Encountered a little traffic
trouble in her last start, and unfortunately she will likely be doing it from
far back once again. Any smooth
journey should put her right in the mix though.
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8
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Cherchez Bluegrass
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Hasn’t looked overly
impressive in her Q’fying efforts after missing in action for over a year and
a half. I’ll watch her go around once
first.
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9
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My Surfer Girl
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Didn’t have the easiest of
trips last time, yet she was still able to cruise past her rivals to make it
back to back wins locally. Another
tough task from outside post though, with short price looming.
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